segunda-feira, 10 de março de 2025

29 de jun. de 2026 Global news glimpses  @vanres74  189e27fev25 #poli [29jun26 mon] {27fev25 thu 10:05} (27fev25)
#pedagogy 2 #brpoli 3 #newtech 4 #geopolitics 5 #transversal 

Global glimpses  189e27fev25 {27fev25}
Trumpland 208e10mar25{10mar25}
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naked capitalism
23mar2025


Musk has lost $120 billion of his personal wealth in the past month. That’s four billion a day or $166,666,666 every hour. Though I’m sure that comes as cold comfort to his underpaid workers.


“Israel’s ‘forever war’ stretches IDF to the limit.

“…it is unclear how much more Israel’s armed forces can take… With no end in sight, defence analysts and reservists have begun to warn of growing attrition on the fighting force, with jobs, families and lives put on hold.”

https://www.ft.com/content/407971c7-bf49-482f-94a6-b1f6f89e2a4d

“‘ISIS is coming back’: The detention camps packed with children radicalised by terror group [Syria].

“The Kurdish armoured vehicle we’re in is being peppered by stones and rocks. But this a good day. The soldiers we’re with face far worse. Knifings and bombings feature regularly from the ISIS families detained in sprawling detention camps in northeast Syria.”

https://news.sky.com/story/we-will-behead-you-children-in-syria-camp-vow-isis-will-return-13328450

“Second night of protests in Turkiye after Istanbul mayor detained…

“In Ankara, the Turkish capital, police used water cannon to disperse crowds at Middle East Technical University. Smaller protests were also reported in the city of Izmir, on the Turkish coast, and Adana, in southern Turkiye.”

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/3/21/second-night-of-protests-in-turkiye-after-istanbul-mayor-detained

“Germany’s Spending Plan Reignites Jitters Over Periphery Debt…

“Yields on benchmark Italian, Greek, Spanish and Portuguese bonds are over 30 basis points higher compared to the start of the month. The four countries…. still have some of the highest debt loads on the continent, making them vulnerable to higher interest rates.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-21/germany-s-spending-plan-reignites-jitters-over-periphery-debt

“Berlin’s Borrowing Binge Strains Germany’s Property Market.

“Berlin’s ambitious investment effort is putting significant pressure on Germany’s property market, as escalating expenses strain a key economic sector. Investors have withdrawn billions, leading to numerous bankruptcies…”

https://finimize.com/content/berlins-borrowing-binge-strains-germanys-property-market

“Hedge fund dominance latest risk for febrile UK debt markets.

“Hedge funds have crowded into debt-fuelled bets on UK government bonds, increasing the potential for instability in the gilts market, a benchmark for borrowing costs in Britain including mortgages, investors and hedge fund sources say.”

https://www.reuters.com/markets/wealth/hedge-fund-dominance-latest-risk-febrile-uk-debt-markets-2025-03-21/

“How Sweden Is Preparing Elite Recruits for Arctic War With Russia.

“WSJ goes inside the Swedish army’s fastest growing and most grueling brigade as a geopolitical battle intensifies in the Arctic.”

https://www.wsj.com/video/series/in-depth-features/how-sweden-is-preparing-elite-recruits-for-arctic-war-with-russia/56863002-A6B6-4588-A1C7-4CD7304712D5


“China Imports of US Commodities, Cars Collapse in New Trade War.

“In a prelude to what could be widespread disruption to global trade, Chinese purchases of cotton fell almost 80% from a year earlier, according to Bloomberg analysis of data released Thursday. Imports of large-engined cars were down nearly 70%…”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-21/china-imports-of-us-commodities-cars-collapse-in-new-trade-war



In a leader-centered political order, whatever the boss says, no matter how outlandish, sets the agenda for every underling. In fact, the willingness of subordinates to parrot and defend even the most extreme parts of his stated agenda is one of the most important signs of regime loyalty, used by the leader to decide on promotions, demotions, and in cases of open criticism, retribution. Those opposed to President Trump cannot decide, say, to ignore his social media posts about making Canada the 51st state, nor can they claim that his tariff threats are just a “bargaining chip” while focusing on his efforts to subordinate the federal bureaucracy to his will. All of these stated priorities matter, precisely because the essence of patrimonialism is the leader’s arbitrary right to treat the state as his personal property. That doesn’t mean that opponents of Trump’s regime shouldn’t pick their fights carefully, of course. But it is impossible to say in advance which of the leader’s many words merely reflect ephemeral musings, and which reveal his reasoned intentions….

President Trump’s new patrimonial regime, if he is able to consolidate it, will amount to nothing less than a revolutionary change in the American political system, as well as a paradigm shift in the global order. For those who prefer a different future—one in which leaders are constrained by the law, officials are judged by their competence and expertise rather than personal loyalty, the use of public office for private gain is prosecuted systematically, and norms of international law still matter—the years ahead will be intensely challenging. Understanding the way patrimonialism works will be vital for those who wish to resist its triumph in the United States.

The Trump administration announced the cancellation of 83% of USAID programmes, focusing on "America First" policies.
Critics warn that slashing USAID's humanitarian aid will impact millions of people across 120 countries.
Rubio confirmed the remaining 1 000 programmes will be handled by the State Department, with cuts backed by Elon Musk's efficiency drive.
"The 5 200 contracts that are now cancelled spent tens of billions of dollars in ways that did not serve, (and in some cases even harmed), the core national interests of the United States."

"Afinal, como disse Donald Trump, tudo isso “está apenas começando”. O presidente dos EUA, um dos países mais infelizes do mundo nesse momento, voltou a defender nesse novo velho discurso, as políticas antieconômicas de taxas alfandegárias impostas ao Canadá, México e China; seguiu falando do seu desejo de anexar a Groenlândia e retomar o Panamá. Aproveitou para xingar o governo Biden como um “pesadelo inflacionário”. Ele também defendeu seu garoto propaganda, seu boneco de ventríloquo que é o Elon Musk. Como bom macho nazifascista ele falou contra a população LGBTQIA+ e que os EUA “não será mais woke”, afinal a retórica psicopolítica precisa desses artifícios para criar ódio contra uma minoria tratada como inimiga. Não há nazifascismo sem inimigos criados à maneira populista.

Por fim, Trump falou como um Hitler na linha da dominação do planeta. A megalomania delirante compõe o discurso grotesco que tem efeitos de poder."
 https://www.brasil247.com/blog/a-retorica-neonazi-de-trump#:~:text=Afinal%2C%20como%20disse,efeitos%20de%20poder.





“Germany’s Merz unveils huge borrowing plan…

“On Tuesday the centre-right Christian Democratic Union (CDU) leader announced an unorthodox plan to recall the old Bundestag parliament later this month. It will be asked to set aside debt rules temporarily and back borrowing of at least €900 billion for urgent security and infrastructure spending.”
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/2025/03/04/germanys-merz-unveils-huge-borrowing-plan/


“Americans Borrow Estimated $74 Billion for Medical Bills in 2024.

“Twelve percent of U.S. adults — or about 31 million Americans — report they had to borrow an estimated total of $74 billion in the past 12 months to pay for healthcare for themselves or a household member.”

https://news.gallup.com/poll/657041/americans-borrow-estimated-billion-medical-bills-2024.aspx
“Extra 1 million people could be engulfed in Somalia hunger crisis, WFP says.

“In 2022, the Horn of Africa faced the driest conditions in more than four decades after consecutive rainy season failures, killing as many as 43,000 people, according to one study… below-average rains are forecast between April and June 2025…”

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/extra-1-million-people-could-be-engulfed-somalia-hunger-crisis-wfp-says-2025-03-04/

“Iran’s economic crisis has reached a critical point, overshadowing its geopolitical manoeuvering in the region.

“The recent dismissal of Economy and Finance Minister Abdolnaser Hemmati by the Iranian parliament reflects the gravity of the country’s financial collapse.”

https://english.alarabiya.net/views/2025/03/04/iran-s-bigger-problem-a-crumbling-economy



Europe Is Getting Ready for the End of NATO.
“… if we formally withdraw from the alliance, pulling our nearly 100,000 troops out of Europe… or “defund NATO,” the organization will collapse. US warships based in Europe, a huge operational geographic advantage for the Navy, would return to US ports. Squadrons of fighters, transports and surveillance planes would also withdraw.”
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-03-05/europe-is-getting-ready-for-the-end-of-nato


"“US faces fiscal ‘heart attack’ under Trump, warns hedge fund chief…

“Ray Dalio, the founder of hedge fund giant Bridgewater Associates, said the combination of tax cuts and soaring government spending would push US debt to unsustainable levels and trigger a major financial meltdown before the end of the incumbent president’s term.”

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/03/03/us-faces-fiscal-heart-attack-under-trump-warns-hedge-fund/"

 "“Donald Trump’s tariffs will bring ‘nothing but pain’ to rural America, farmers say.

“US farmers reacted with fury to President Donald Trump’s tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico and China, saying a trade war will threaten their markets, push up the cost of inputs such as fertiliser and “take a toll on rural America”.”

https://www.ft.com/content/ba4569d3-3c54-47d9-90af-125751434118"
 

"China aumentará importações de alimentos da América Latina e Europa com escalada da guerra comercial pelos EUA
"Haverá um redirecionamento do comércio após as tarifas de importação da China sobre os produtos norte-americanos", disse Pan Chenjun, analista do Rabobank
05 de março de 2025,"
 https://www.brasil247.com/mundo/china-aumentara-importacoes-de-alimentos-da-america-latina-e-europa-com-escalada-da-guerra-comercial-pelos-eua#:~:text=China%20aumentar%C3%A1%20importa%C3%A7%C3%B5es,mar%C3%A7o%20de%202025%2C



"O triste é observar grande parte da intelectualidade de esquerda, inclusive no Brasil, tomar partido pela Rússia de Vladimir Putin, de forma aberta ou velada, sem sequer uma crítica à repressão e à ditadura russas. Não se importam com a catástrofe moral em curso, presente em todas as guerras. Nenhuma palavra sobre as chacinas e os traumas suportados por ucranianos e russos. Raciocinam como pretensos especialistas em geopolítica internacional, observando o cenário como jogadores de xadrez, do alto e de longe."
 https://aterraeredonda.com.br/guerra-na-ucrania-ano-iv/#:~:text=O%20triste%20%C3%A9,e%20de%20longe.


Al-Gharbi notes that in New York and other politically blue American cities these services are mostly provided by “minorities and immigrants from particular racial and ethnic backgrounds.” The cities operate as “well-oiled machines for casually exploiting and discarding the vulnerable, desperate, and disadvantaged. And it’s largely Democratic-voting professionals who take advantage of them.”

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/03/twilight-of-the-woke-or-how-to-historicize-with-a-hammer.html

Such professionals are the “new elite” mentioned in the subtitle of the book.02mar25

"Trump and the US administration have pushed ahead with talks with Russia, while keeping Europe and Ukraine at the negotiating table, amid concerns that Ukraine will be forced to accept a major power deal over which it has no say, reflecting the changing relationship between the US and Europe, which plays a key role in NATO. 

 In addition, the relationship between the United States and Ukraine has reached a critical crossroads after the two countries failed to conclude a deal on rare earths. Furthermore, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was criticized by Trump in front of the media, causing the meeting between the two leaders to end in tension. European leaders have urgently come out to show their support for Ukraine, with the United Kingdom and France being the main supporters in drafting the Ukrainian peace negotiation plan, which will push for an initial ceasefire, including peacekeeping missions and additional financial support for Ukraine, and aiming to present this plan to Trump for consideration in order to seek support from the United States. "

https://thestandard.co/russia-ukraine-conflict-roots-analysis/


Trump’s threatened 25% tariffs on EU imports could trigger ‘economic turmoil’…

“Donald Trump’s threatened 25% tariffs on EU imports could trigger “economic turmoil”, sharply push down growth and send inflation soaring, according to a German thinktank.”

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/feb/27/donald-trump-tariffs-on-eu-imports-could-trigger-economic-turmoil

27fev25

"Durante um período de três anos, 1.700 ovelhas Merino foram divididas em dois grupos: um grupo pastava em pastagens tradicionais e o outro entre os painéis solares da instalação. Fatores como o crescimento da lã, a resistência da fibra e o peso das ovelhas foram examinados.


Os resultados sugerem que o pastoreio sob painéis solares não afeta negativamente a qualidade da lã; na verdade, alguns parâmetros até apresentaram melhorias."

 https://br.ign.com/tech/137148/news/na-australia-1700-ovelhas-pastaram-entre-paineis-solares-e-o-desfecho-da-historia-e-surpreendente#:~:text=Durante%20um%20per%C3%ADodo,at%C3%A9%20apresentaram%20melhorias.



Washington’s so-called “small yard, high fence” approach to curbing China’s access to specific US technologies such as semiconductors and AI has largely failed. Ironically, the restrictions have catalysed collaboration between China’s public and private sectors to address bottlenecks and cut reliance on imported technologies. China has thus become less reliant on US technologies, and it is doing just fine.

This in turn has bolstered China’s confidence in its own talent, supply chain and organisation.

The country’s deep talent pool in scientific research – a product of its rigorous education system that focuses on science, technology, engineering and mathematics – is one major advantage.https://www.scmp.com/opinion/china-opinion/article/3299908/china-gets-taste-victory-us-tech-war-thanks-talent-supply-chains-organisation

https://vanres1974.blogspot.com/2026/04/189e27fev25.html


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